Principles of Finance · free preview

The Yield Curve and the Term Structure

The yield curve plots yield against maturity for same-credit bonds, its normal upward slope compensates lenders for time, its inversions signal expected rate cuts and recessions, and its shifts reprice every bond on the curve.

1. Reading the curve

Reading the curve

2. Shapes and their signals

Shapes and their signals

3. Shifts, twists, and bond prices

Shifts, twists, and bond prices

4. Expectations arithmetic in brief

Expectations arithmetic in brief

5. What the curve plots

In fixed income markets, what relationship does the yield curve plot for bonds of the same credit quality?

6. Why curves slope up

Why do normal yield curves slope upward, with long yields above short yields?

7. Reading an inversion

What does an inverted yield curve most directly tell market watchers?

8. The expectations average

Under the pure expectations hypothesis, if expected one-year rates for the next three years are 3, 4, and 5 percent, where should the three-year yield sit?

9. Parallel shift versus twist

A central bank tightens, lifting short yields one percent while long yields rise only slightly. What kind of curve movement is this, and what does it do to a ten-year bond?

10. Why duration is reported

Why do bond portfolios report their duration as a summary statistic?

11. The curve's rare shape

What one-word term names a yield curve with long yields below short yields? Answer in lowercase.

12. The extra compensation

What two-word term names the extra yield lenders demand for long commitments beyond expected short rates? Answer in lowercase.

13. The hypothesis name

What two-word hypothesis says long yields equal the average of expected future short rates? Answer in lowercase.

14. The moving together

What two-word term describes a curve shift that moves all yields up or down by roughly the same amount? Answer in lowercase.

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