Principles of Finance · free preview

Dividend Discount Models

Dividend discount models price a stock as the present value of its expected dividends, the zero-growth version is a perpetuity, the Gordon growth model handles constant growth, and the required inputs are next year's dividend, growth, and the investor's required return.

1. The core idea

The core idea

2. Zero growth, the perpetuity case

Zero growth, the perpetuity case

3. The Gordon growth model

The Gordon growth model

4. Fit, misfit, and judgment

Fit, misfit, and judgment

5. The core pricing idea

According to dividend discount models, what determines a stock's fair price?

6. The zero-growth price

A mature firm pays a constant annual dividend of 2 dollars per share, and investors require an 8 percent return. What is the dividend discount model price?

7. The Gordon growth inputs

Next year's dividend is expected to be 2 dollars, dividends grow 3 percent annually forever, and the required return is 8 percent. What does the Gordon growth model give as the price?

8. Why the spread dominates

Why does a small change in the growth rate or required return move the Gordon growth price so much?

9. When the model misfits

For which kind of firm does the dividend discount model fit least well?

10. Anchoring growth conservatively

Why do analysts anchor a firm's long-run dividend growth at or below the economy's growth rate?

11. The model's namesake

What is the last name of the economist whose constant-growth dividend discount model carries his name? Answer with one word.

12. The forbidden condition

For the Gordon growth model to produce a finite price, the required return must be greater than what other rate? Answer with one letter.

13. The next-year payment

In the Gordon formula, the numerator is the dividend expected at which future date, this year or next? Answer with one word.

14. The zero-growth identity

With zero growth, the dividend discount model reduces to which single-payment-stream valuation form from the TVM module? Answer with one word.

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