Principles of Finance · free preview

The Complete Forecast and the Value of Growth

The complete forecast assembles sales, pro forma statements, and cash flows into a funding plan, and the same machinery values growth by discounting projected free cash flows, separating the value of existing operations from the value growth adds.

1. Assembling the forecast

Assembling the forecast

2. The funding story

The funding story

3. Valuing growth

Valuing growth

4. The forecasting module closed

The forecasting module closed

5. The assembly's artifacts

What three artifacts does a complete financial forecast deliver?

6. Reading a rising plug

A forecast's debt plug rises through year two, peaks, then declines. What story is the model telling?

7. Scenario-colored funding

Why should the funding plan read the scenario range rather than the base case alone?

8. The growth decomposition

How does the valuation exercise decompose the firm's worth into existing operations and growth?

9. When growth adds value

Growth adds value to a firm under what condition?

10. The module's disciplines assembled

Which list names the forecasting module's working disciplines?

11. The no-growth path

In the growth valuation exercise, what two-word term names the comparison path holding cash flows at current levels? Answer in lowercase.

12. The spread that prices growth

What three-letter abbreviation names the economic value created when return exceeds the cost of capital, the spread that decides whether growth adds value? Write the abbreviation.

13. The peak funding point

What two-word term names the point in the funding path where the debt plug reaches its maximum? Answer in lowercase.

14. The value decomposition's output

The growth valuation exercise reports what share of firm value comes from growth. What one-word term names that share? Answer in lowercase.

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