Microeconomics · 免费预览

前景理论

人们以某个参照点为基准,将结果评价为收益与损失;损失带来的痛苦约为等额收益带来快乐的两倍;而概率加权则解释了为何同一个钱包既会买彩票,也会买保险。

1. The reference point

The reference point

2. Probability weighting

Probability weighting

3. Framing's older cousin

Framing's older cousin

4. What the theory is not

What the theory is not

5. Loss aversion

Why do many workers accept a 2 percent raise during 4 percent inflation but would strike against a 2 percent nominal cut?

6. The fourfold pattern

Which pair of behaviors does probability weighting predict from the same household?

7. The kink's arithmetic

Suppose gaining 10 dollars adds 10 units of value, and losses loom twice as large. Compute the value change, in units, of losing 10 dollars, and write the number as a negative.

8. The raise that feels fine

Why do many workers accept a 2 percent raise during 4 percent inflation but would strike over a nominal pay cut?

9. Losses with teeth

If losses loom roughly twice as large as equal gains in the value function, which choice pattern follows?

10. A steeper loss function

Suppose gaining 10 dollars adds 15 units of value, and losses loom 2.5 times as large. Compute the value units lost from losing 6 dollars, writing the number as negative.

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